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New research shows that people recognize more of their biases in algorithms' decisions than they do in their own -- even when those decisions are the same.

NASA’s Parker Solar Probe has been in studying the Sun for the last six years. In 2021 it was hit directly by a coronal mass ejection when it was a mere 10 million kilometres from the solar surface. Luckily it was gathering data and images enabling scientists to piece together an amazing video. The interactions between the solar wind and the coronal mass ejection were measured giving an unprecedented view of the solar corona. 

The Sun is a fascinating object and as our local star, has been the subject of many studies. There are still mysteries though and it was hoping to unravel some of these that the NASA Parker Solar Probe was launched. It was sent on its way by the Delta IV heavy back in 2018 and has flown seven times closer to the Sun than any spacecraft before it. 

Illustration of the Parker Solar Probe spacecraft approaching the Sun. Credits: Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory

By the time Parker completes its seven year mission it will have completed 24 orbits of the Sun and flown to within 6.2 million kilometres to the visible surface. For this to happen, its going to get very hot so the probe has a 11.4cm thick carbon composite shield to keep its components as cool as possible in the searing 1,377 Celsius temperatures. 

Flying within the Sun’s outer atmosphere, the corona, the probe picked up turbulence inside a coronal mass ejection as it interacted with the solar wind. These events are eruptions of large amounts of highly magnetised and energetic plasma from within the Sun’s corona. When directed toward Earth they can cause magnetic and radio disruptions in many ways from communications to power systems. 

Image of a coronal mass ejection being discharged from the Sun. (Credit: NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center/Solar Dynamics Observatory)

Using the Wide Field Imager for Parker Solar Probe (WISPR) and its prime position inside the solar atmosphere, unprecedented footage was captured (click on this link for the video). The science team from the US Naval Research Laboratory revealed what seemed like turbulent eddies, so called Kelvin-Helmholtz instabilities (KHIs) in one of the images. Turbulent eddy structures like these have been seen in the atmosphere of terrestrial planets. Strong wind shear between upper and lower cloud levels causes thin trains of crescent wave like clouds. 

Member of the WISPR team Evangelos Paouris PhD was the eagle eyed individual that spotted the disturbance. Paouris and team analysed the structure to verify the waves. The discovery of these rare features in the CME have opened up a whole new field of investigations.  

The KHIs are the result of turbulence which plays a key role in the movement of CMEs as they flow through the ambient solar wind. Understanding the CMEs and their dynamics of CMEs and a more fuller understanding of the Sun’s corona. This doesn’t just help us understand the Sun but also helps to understand the effect of CMEs on Earth and our space based technology.

Source : WISPR Team Images Turbulence within Solar Transients for the First Time

The post WISPR Team Images Turbulence within Solar Transients for the First Time appeared first on Universe Today.

In a couple billion years, our Sun will be unrecognizable. It will swell up and become a red giant, then shrink again and become a white dwarf. The inner planets aren’t expected to survive all the mayhem these transitions unleash, but what will happen to them? What will happen to the outer planets?

Right now, our Sun is about 4.6 billion years old. It’s firmly in the main sequence now, meaning it’s going about its business fusing hydrogen into helium and releasing energy. But even though it’s about 330,000 times more massive than the Earth, and nearly all of that mass is hydrogen fuel, it will eventually run out.

In another five billion years or so, its vast reservoir of hydrogen will suffer depletion. As it burns through its hydrogen, the Sun will lose mass. As it loses mass, its gravity weakens and can no longer counteract the outward force driven by fusion. A star is a balancing act between the outward expansion of fusion and the inward force of gravity. Eventually, the Sun’s billions-of-years-long balancing act will totter.

With weakened gravity, the Sun will begin to expand and become a red giant.

This illustration shows the current-day Sun at about 4.6 billion years old. In the future, the Sun will expand and become a red giant. Image Credit: By Oona Räisänen (User:Mysid), User:Mrsanitazier. – Vectorized in Inkscape by Mysid on a JPEG by Mrsanitazier (en:Image: Sun Red Giant2.jpg). CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=2585107

The Sun will almost certainly consume Mercury and Venus when it becomes a red giant. It will expand and become about 256 times larger than it is now. The inner two planets are too close, and there’s no way they can escape the swelling star. Earth’s fate is less certain. It may be swallowed by the giant Sun, or it may not. But even if it isn’t consumed, it will lose its oceans and atmosphere and become uninhabitable.

The Sun will be a red giant for about one billion years. After that, it will undergo a series of more rapid changes, shrinking and expanding again. But the mayhem doesn’t end there.

The Sun will pulse and shed its outer layers before being reduced to a tiny remnant of what it once was: a white dwarf.

An artist’s impression of a white dwarf star. The material inside white dwarfs is tightly packed, making them extremely dense. Image credit: Mark Garlick / University of Warwick.

This will happen to the Sun, its ilk, and almost all stars that host planets. Even the long-lived red dwarfs (M-dwarfs) will eventually become white dwarfs, though their path is different.

Astronomers know the fate of planets too close to the stars undergoing these tumultuous changes. But what happens to planets further away? To their moons? To asteroids and comets?

New research published in The Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society digs into the issue. The title is “Long-term variability in debris transiting white dwarfs,” and the lead author is Dr. Amornrat Aungwerojwit of Naresuan University in Thailand.

“Practically all known planet hosts will evolve eventually into white dwarfs, and large parts of the various components of their planetary systems—planets, moons, asteroids, and comets—will survive that metamorphosis,” the authors write.

There’s lots of observational evidence for this. Astronomers have detected planetary debris polluting the photospheres of white dwarfs, and they’ve also found compact debris disks around white dwarfs. Those findings show that not everything survives the main sequence to red giant to white dwarf transition.

“Previous research had shown that when asteroids, moons and planets get close to white dwarfs, the huge gravity of these stars rips these small planetary bodies into smaller and smaller pieces,” said lead author Aungwerojwit.

This Hubble Space Telescope shows Sirius, with its white dwarf companion Sirius B to the lower left. Sirius B is the closest white dwarf to the Sun. Credit: NASA, ESA, H. Bond (STScI) and M. Barstow (University of Leicester).

In this research, the authors observed three white dwarfs over the span of 17 years. They analyzed the changes in brightness that occurred. Each of the three stars behaved differently.

When planets orbit stars, their transits are orderly and predictable. Not so with debris. The fact that the three white dwarfs showed such disorderly transits means they’re being orbited by debris. It also means the nature of that debris is changing.

“The unpredictable nature of these transits can drive astronomers crazy—one minute they are there, the next they are gone.”

Professor Boris Gaensicke, University of Warwick

As small bodies like asteroids and moons are torn into small pieces, they collide with one another until nothing’s left but dust. The dust forms clouds and disks that orbit and rotate around the white dwarfs.

Professor Boris Gaensicke of the University of Warwick is one of the study’s co-authors. “The simple fact that we can detect the debris of asteroids, maybe moons or even planets whizzing around a white dwarf every couple of hours is quite mind-blowing, but our study shows that the behaviour of these systems can evolve rapidly, in a matter of a few years,” Gaensicke said.

“While we think we are on the right path in our studies, the fate of these systems is far more complex than we could have ever imagined,” added Gaensicke.

This artist’s illustration shows the white dwarf WD J0914+1914 (Not part of this research.) A Neptune-sized planet orbits the white dwarf, and the white dwarf is drawing material away from the planet and forming a debris disk around the star. Image Credit: By ESO/M. Kornmesser – https://www.eso.org/public/images/eso1919a/, CC BY 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=84618722

During the 17 years of observations, all three white dwarfs showed variability.

The first white dwarf (ZTF J0328?1219) was steady and stable until a major catastrophic event around 2011. “This might suggest that the system underwent a large collisional event around 2011, resulting in the production of large amounts of dust occulting the white dwarf, which has since then gradually dispersed, though leaving sufficient material to account for the ongoing transit activity, which implies continued dust production,” the researchers explain.

The second white dwarf (ZTF J0923+4236) dimmed irregularly every couple of months and displayed chaotic variability on the timescale of minutes. “These long-term changes may be the result of the ongoing disruption of a planetesimal or the collision between multiple fragments, both leading to a temporarily increased dust production,” the authors explain in their paper.

The third star (WD 1145+017) showed large variations in numbers, shapes and depths of transits in 2015. This activity “concurs with a large increase in transit activity, followed by a subsequent gradual re-brightening,” the authors explain, adding that “the overall trends seen in the brightness of WD?1145+017 are linked to varying amounts of transit activity.”

But now all those transits are gone.

“The unpredictable nature of these transits can drive astronomers crazy—one minute they are there, the next they are gone,” said Gaensicke. “And this points to the chaotic environment they are in.”

But astronomers have also found planetesimals, planets, and giant planets around white dwarfs, indicating that the stars’ transitions from main sequence to red giant don’t destroy everything. The dust and debris that astronomers see around these white dwarfs might come from asteroids or from moons pulled free from their giant planets.

“For the rest of the Solar System, some of the asteroids located between Mars and Jupiter, and maybe some of the moons of Jupiter may get dislodged and travel close enough to the eventual white dwarf to undergo the shredding process we have investigated,” said Professor Gaensicke.

When our Sun finally becomes a white dwarf, it will likely have debris around it. But the debris won’t be from Earth. One way or another, the Sun will destroy Earth during its red giant phase.

“Whether or not the Earth can just move out fast enough before the Sun can catch up and burn it is not clear, but [if it does] the Earth would [still] lose its atmosphere and ocean and not be a very nice place to live,” explained Professor Gaensicke.

The post What Happens to Solar Systems When Stars Become White Dwarfs? appeared first on Universe Today.

An oral vaccine in the form of a pineapple-flavoured spray prevented recurrent urinary tract infections in 53.9 per cent of clinical trial participants

Wirelessly connected devices perform an expanding array of applications, such as monitoring the condition of machinery and remote sensing in agricultural settings. These applications hold much potential for improving the efficiency, but how do you power these devices where reliable electrical sources are not available? Research points to a possible solution in the form of a novel type of battery.

Medical researchers have performed a successful transcatheter tricuspid valve repair procedure with a groundbreaking catheter.

An excavation on an island in the Coral Sea shows that Indigenous Australians were producing ceramics long before the arrival of Europeans

A quick note today, as I am flying to Los Angeles in preparation for

• A book talk 4/10 at Vroman’s Bookstore in Pasadena, CA
• A colloquium-style talk 4/11 (related to the book) at the University of Irvine physics department

and other events next week.

I hope many of you were able, as I was, to witness the total solar eclipse yesterday. This was the third I’ve seen, and each one is different; the corona, prominences, stars, planets, and sky color all vary greatly, as do the sounds of animals. (I have written about my adventures going to my first one back in 1999; yesterday was a lot easier.)

Finally, of course, the physics world is mourning the loss of Peter Higgs. Back in 1964, Higgs proposed the particle known as the Higgs boson, as a consequence of what we often call the Higgs field. (Note that the field was also proposed, at the same time, by Robert Brout and Francois Englert.) Much is being written about Higgs today, and I’ll leave that to the professional journalists. But if you want to know what Higgs actually did (rather than the pseudo-descriptions that you’ll find in the press) then you have come to the right place. More on that later in the week.

Galactic collisions, meteor impacts and even stellar mergers are not uncommon events. neutron stars colliding with black holes however are a little more rare, in fact, until now, we have never observed one. The fourth LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing detected gravitational waves from a collision between a black hole and neutron star 650 million light years away. The black hole was tiny though with a mass between 2.5 to 4.5 times that of the Sun. 

Neutron stars and black holes have something in common; they are both the remains of a massive star that has reached the end of its life. During the main part of a stars life the inward pull of gravity is balanced by the outward push of the thermonuclear pressure that makes the star shine. The thermonuclear pressure overcomes gravity for low mass stars like the Sun but for more massive stars, gravity wins. The core collapses compressing it into either a neutron star or a black hole (depending on the progenitor star mass) and explodes as a supernova – in the blink of an eye. 

In May 2023, as a result of the fourth observing session of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory-Virgo Gravitational Wave Interferometer and Kamioka Gravitational Wave Detector) network, gravitational waves were picked up from a merger event. The signal came from an object 1.2 times the mass of the Sun and another slightly more massive object. Further analysis revealed the likelihood that one was a neutron star and the other a low mass black hole. The latter falls into the so called ‘mass gap’, more massive than the most massive neutron star and less massive than the least massive black hole.

Interactions between objects can generate gravitational waves. Before they were detected back in 2015, stellar mass black holes were typically found through X-ray observations. Neutron stars on the other hand, were usually found with radio observations. Between the two, was the mass gap with objects lacking between three and five solar masses. 

It has been the subject of debate among scientists with the odd object found which fell within the gap, fuelling debate about its existence. The gap has generally been considered to separate the neutron stars from the black holes and items in this mass group have been scarce. This gravitational wave discovery suggests maybe objects in this gap are not so rare after-all. 

One of the challenges of detecting mass gap objects and mergers between them is the sensitivity of detectors. The LIGO team at the University of British Columbia researchers are working hard to improve the coatings used in mirror production. Enhanced performance on future LIGO detectors will further enhance detection capabilities. It’s not just optical equipment that is being developed, infrastructure changes are also being addressed including data analysis software too. Improving sensitivity in all aspects of the gravity wave network is sure to yield results in future runs. However for now, the rest of the first half of the observing run needs analysing with 80 more candidate signals to study. 

Source : New gravitational wave signal helps fill the ‘mass gap’ between neutron stars and black holes

The post A Neutron Star Merged with a Surprisingly Light Black Hole appeared first on Universe Today.

Nobel prizewinning theoretical physicist Peter Higgs has died aged 94. He proposed the particle that gives other particles mass – now named the Higgs boson and discovered by the Large Hadron Collider at CERN in 2012

Sometimes, the easy calculations are the most interesting. A recent paper from Balázs Bradák of Kobe University in Japan is a case in point. In it, he takes an admittedly simplistic approach but comes up with seven known exoplanets that could hold the key to the biggest question of them all – are we alone?

Dr. Bradák starts with a simple premise – there is a chance that life on Earth might have started via panspermia. There is also a case that panspermia was intention – an advanced civilization could theoretically have purposefully sent a biological seed ship to our local solar system to spread life here, essentially from scratch.

With those admittedly very large assumptions in place, Dr. Bradák works out a few characteristics about the planets that could have been the starting point for such a civilization. First, he assumes, as much of the astrobiological community does, that for an advanced civilization to arise on a planet, that planet has to be at least partially covered in an ocean. 

Sun-like stars aren’t the only potential hosts for habitable planets, as Fraser discusses here.

To meet that requirement, the planet has to be both the right size and the right temperature. The two size categories of exoplanets that Dr. Bradák originally selected were “terrestrial” – planets similar to Earth, including so-called “Super-Earths” – and “sub-Neptunes” – planets that are significantly larger than Earth but smaller than the ice giant in the outer fringes of our solar system.

Any such exoplanet also has to be in the habitable zone of its parent star. That alone dramatically narrows the potential field of planetary candidates. For simplicity’s sake, Dr. Bradák also eliminates sub-Neptunes as a potential planetary class. However, one other factor comes into play as well: age.

We know it took around 4.6 billion years for life to evolve to a point where it could theoretically send objects to other star systems – as we have now with Voyager. Since the original planet would also have to have evolved such a civilization, it would be double the time for its minimum age – or 9.2 billion years old.

The idea of panspermia has been around for decades, as Fraser discusses.

Dr. Bradák adds some additional argument that lowers the required age of the system – and he also assumes that the planetary system of a star forms at a similar time gap as our planetary system did. The distance to most of these stars is inconsequential on the scale of billions of years, so the travel time for the seed ship was discounted in this calculation. 

After all that pruning, Dr. Bradák turned to NASA’s Exoplanet Archive, which currently contains 5271 known exoplanets. Of those 5271, only 7 meet the specified age, size, and habitable zone placement criteria. In other words, according to our current knowledge of exoplanets and how life evolved, only a few planets could potentially have been the starting point for an intentional panspermia campaign.

One planet in particular stands out – Kepler-452 b, which has a star similar to ours and an orbit similar to ours. That system is only 1,400 light years away, relatively close by astronomical standards. If nothing else, it points to that system as a potentially interesting focal point for exoplanet surveys, including assessments of exoplanet atmospheres. However, we’ll likely have to wait for the next generation of grand telescopes.

For now, this was an interesting, though brief, speculative exercise. Astronomers are always looking for exciting things, and this paper contributes to the arguments about why it’s so important to spend time looking in detail at some of the exoplanets we already know about.

Learn More:
B. Bradák – A BOLD AND HASTY SPECULATION ABOUT ADVANCED CIVILIZATION-BEARING PLANETS
APPEARING IN EXOPLANET DATABASES
UT – A Super-Earth (and Possible Earth-Sized) Exoplanet Found in the Habitable Zone
UT – A New Place to Search for Habitable Planets: “The Soot Line.”
UT – Want to Find Life? Compare a Planet to its Neighbors

Lead Image:
Artist’s illustration of a habitable planet.
Credit – Wikipedia / VP8/Vorbis

The post The Seven Most Intriguing Worlds to Search for Advanced Civilizations (So Far) appeared first on Universe Today.

What a pair! The renowned biologist and the hoax-exposer/mathematician, teamed up to attack the medical profession’s new and woke tendency to deny the existence of biological sex as a reality. (Yes, all animals have exactly two sexes, which are not made up by society.) This eloquent op-ed is in the Boston Globe, and you can click below to read it for free, or find it archived here (h/t Mark, Barry).

It’s the “sex assigned at birth” meme, which any fool knows was made up to pretend that biological sex doesn’t really exist in nature, but is merely a “social construct”. This is the same risible meme taken apart by Alex Byrne and Carole Hooven in a recent NYT op-ed. As Alan and Richard note below, the distortion of reality was made for ideological reasons—by gender activists who want to see biological sex as a spectrum, and that is based on the the insupportable view that if you distort biology, transgender or transsexual people will not be “erased”. But, as I’ve said ad infinitum, you don’t need to distort biology to justify treating such people with civility and respect, and to confer on them the same moral value as everyone else has.

The excerpt from the above speaks for itself, but has a lot of useful links to show how well the termites have dined.

The American Medical Association says that the word “sex” — as in male or female — is problematic and outdated; we should all now use the “more precise” phrase “sex assigned at birth.” The American Psychological Association concurs: Terms like “birth sex” and “natal sex” are “disparaging” and misleadingly “imply that sex is an immutable characteristic.” The American Academy of Pediatrics is on board too: “sex,” it declares, is “an assignment that is made at birth.” And now the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention urge us to say “assigned male/female at birth” or “designated male/female at birth” instead of “biologically male/female” or “genetically male/female.”

After discussing the biological definition of sex, which, as you know well by now involves differences in developmental systems that produce gametes of different size and mobility, Sokal and Dawkins give a sharp rap on the knuckles of the medical establishment. I’ve put the last two paragraphs in bold; the penultimate one shows the trend and motivation, while the last one shows the damage.

Much is speciously made of the fact that a very few humans are born with chromosomal patterns other than XX and XY. The most common, Klinefelter syndrome with XXY chromosomes, occurs in about 0.1 percent of live births; these individuals are anatomically male, though often infertile. Some extremely rare conditions, such as de la Chapelle syndrome (0.003 percent) and Swyer syndrome (0.0005 percent), arguably fall outside the standard male/female classification. Even so, the sexual divide is an exceedingly clear binary, as binary as any distinction you can find in biology.

So where does this leave the medical associations’ claims about “sex assigned at birth”?

A baby’s name is assigned at birth; no one doubts that. But a baby’s sex is not “assigned”; it is determined at conception and is then observed at birth, first by examination of the external genital organs and then, in cases of doubt, by chromosomal analysis. Of course, any observation can be erroneous, and in rare cases the sex reported on the birth certificate is inaccurate and needs to be subsequently corrected. But the fallibility of observation does not change the fact that what is being observed — a person’s sex — is an objective biological reality, just like their blood group or fingerprint pattern, not something that is “assigned.” The medical associations’ pronouncements are social constructionism gone amok.

. . .For decades, feminists have protested against the neglect of sex as a variable in medical diagnosis and treatment, and the tacit assumption that women’s bodies react similarly to men’s bodies. Two years ago, the prestigious medical journal The Lancet finally acknowledged this criticism, but the editors apparently could not bring themselves to use the word “women.” Instead the journal’s cover proclaimed: “Historically, the anatomy and physiology of bodies with vaginas have been neglected.” But now even this double-edged concession may be lost, as the denial of biological sex threatens to undermine the training of future doctors.

The medical establishment’s newfound reluctance to speak honestly about biological reality most likely stems from a laudable desire to defend the human rights of transgender people. But while the goal is praiseworthy, the chosen method is misguided. Protecting transgender people from discrimination and harassment does not require pretending that sex is merely “assigned.”

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It is never justified to distort the facts in the service of a social or political cause, no matter how just. If the cause is truly just, then it can be defended in full acceptance of the facts about the real world.

And when an organization that proclaims itself scientific distorts the scientific facts in the service of a social cause, it undermines not only its own credibility but that of science generally. How can the public be expected to trust the medical establishment’s declarations on other controversial issues, such as vaccines — issues on which the medical consensus is indeed correct — when it has so visibly and blatantly misstated the facts about something so simple as sex?

 

Read also Byrne and Hooven; click below (or read it archived here):

Finally, the infamous Lancet cover:

You’ve likely heard of the Breakthrough Starshot (BTS) initiative. BTS aims to send tiny gram-scale, light sail picospacecraft to our neighbour, Proxima Centauri B. In BTS’s scheme, lasers would propel a whole fleet of tiny probes to the potentially water-rich exoplanet.

Now, another company, Space Initiatives Inc., is tackling the idea. NASA has funded them so they can study the idea. What can we expect to learn from the effort?

Proxima b may be a close neighbour in planetary terms. But it’s in a completely different solar system, about four light-years away. That means any probes sent there must travel at relativistic speeds if we want them to arrive in a reasonable amount of time.

That’s why Space Initiatives Inc. proposes such tiny spacecraft. With their small masses, direct lasers can propel them to their destination. That means they must send a swarm of hundreds or even one thousand probes to get valuable scientific results.

This is much different than the architecture that missions usually conform to. Most missions are a single spacecraft, perhaps with a smaller attached probe like the Huygens probe attached to the Cassini spacecraft. How does using a swarm change the mission? What results can we expect?

“We anticipate our innovations would have a profound effect on space exploration.”

Thomas Eubanks, Space Inititatives Inc.

A new presentation at the 55th Lunar and Planetary Science Conference (LPSC) in Texas examined the idea. It’s titled “SCIENTIFIC RETURN FROM IN SITU EXPLORATION OF THE PROXIMA B EXOPLANET.” The lead author is T. Marshall Eubanks from Space Initiatives Inc., a start-up developing 50-gram femtosatellites that weigh less than 100 grams (3.5 oz.)

Tiny probes like these can only do flybys. They’re too tiny and low-mass for anything else. When designing a mission like this, the first consideration is whether the probes will operate as a dispersed or coherent swarm. In a dispersed swarm, the probes reach their destination sequentially. In a coherent swarm, the probes are together when they do their flyby. Both architectures have their merits.

In either case, these tiny solar sail probes will be very thin. But thanks to technological advances, they can still gather high-resolution images by working together.

The image below shows 247 probes forming an array as they fly by Proxima b. Together, they have the light-collecting area of a three-meter telescope. This arrangement should enable sub-arc-second resolutions at optical wavelengths. Spectroscopy should be equally as fine.

“While both erosion by the Interstellar Medium (ISM) and image smearing will degrade imaging, we anticipate these systems will enable sub-arcsecond resolution imaging and spectroscopy of the target planet,” the authors write.

This image from the presentation shows how the probe swarm would arrive at Proxima b. (Note that the planned swarm dispersion is much smaller than is indicated here.) Image Credit: Eubanks et al. 2024.

These tiny spacecraft could do some course correction, but not much. So, getting the navigation right is critical. Unfortunately, our data on Proxima b’s orbit is not as well-understood as the planets in our own Solar System. It all comes down to ephemeris.

Ephemeris tables show the trajectory of planets and other objects in space. But in Proxima b’s case, the ephemeris error is potentially quite large.

Added to that is the distance. If the probes can travel at 20% of light speed, reaching the planet will take over 21 years. The authors calculate that if they can restrict Proxima b’s ephemeris error to 100,000 km and send 1,000 probes, at least one will come within 1,000 km of the planet. “Meeting this ephemeris error goal will require improved astrometry of the Proxima system,” the authors write.

The probes would perform science observations on their way to Proxima b. As they travel, the swarm would have dozens or even hundreds of opportunities to use microlensing to study stellar objects. A stellar mass microlensing event requiring one month on Earth would only take one hour.

“It is now possible to predict lensing events for nearby stars; BTS probe observations of dozens or hundreds of predicted microlensing events by nearby stars will offer both a means of observing these systems and a novel means of interstellar navigation,” the authors explain.

The swarm would be only the third mission to leave our Solar System. The Voyage spacecraft left the heliosphere, but only inadvertently. So, the swarm could observe the interstellar medium (ISM) during its 20+ year journey. One of the questions we have about the local ISM concerns clouds. We only have poor data on the nature of these clouds, and scientists aren’t certain if our Solar System is in the Local Interstellar Cloud (LIC.)

“In situ observation of the properties of these clouds will be a primary scientific goal for mission science during the long interstellar voyage,” the researchers write.

There are clouds in the ISM near our Solar System. But we don’t know much about them, including if our Solar System is in the LIC or if it’s leaving it. Image Credit: Interstellar Probe/JHUAPL

Opportunistic science during the voyage is great, but arrival at Proxima b is the meat of the mission. One day before the probes arrive, they would still be 35 AU away. At that point, the mission could begin imaging. Proxima b would still only be several pixels across, but it’s enough to see any visible moons.

“At this point, it would be worth turning some probes to face forward and begin imaging the Proxima system to search for undiscovered planets, moons and asteroids in the system, and to begin a Proxima b approach video,” the researchers explain.

Upon arrival at Proxima Centauri b, a one-meter aperture telescope 6,000 km away from the planet could attain a six-meter resolution on the surface. That’s an idealistic number, as not all of the planet’s surface could be imaged at that resolution. PCb is also tidally locked to its star, meaning one side is in darkness. Because of that, the mission should be designed to gather low-light and infrared images of the night side. “Night-side illumination imagery might also be the most conclusive technosignature from an initial Proxima mission,” the authors write.

As probes pass through Proxima b’s shadow, they could use the light from the star to perform spectroscopy. Probes passing behind Proxima b could use the Earth laser system for spectrometry, and if the probes are in a coherent swarm, they could use the lasers from pairs of probes on either side of the planet.

“Transmission spectroscopy, which for Proxima b cannot be done from Earth,” the researchers explain, “will likely provide the best means of determining the existence of a biology or even a technological society on Proxima b through the search for the spectral lines of biomarkers and technomarkers.”

As humanity’s first mission to Proxima Centauri b, the swarm would face some hurdles and uncertainties. But in a coherent swarm architecture, the mission could also be almost too successful. “A BTS mission, especially with a coherent swarm, may collect more data than can be returned to Earth,” the authors write. If the data returned has to be selected autonomously by the swarm itself, that could be more demanding than deciding what data to collect in the first place.

Scientists have many questions about Proxima Centauri b. Should the swarm ever be launched, any amount of data it returns will be valuable. Even though it’ll take over four years for the data to be sent back to Earth.

An artist’s conception of a violent flare erupting from the red dwarf star Proxima Centauri. Such flares can obliterate the atmospheres of nearby planets. Credit: NRAO/S. Dagnello.

Scientists don’t know how hot the planet is. They’re not certain if it even has liquid water. It looks like the planet is just over one Earth mass and has a slightly higher radius. But those measurements are uncertain. Scientists are also uncertain about its composition. The star it orbits is a flare star, which means the planet could be subjected to extremely powerful bursts of radiation. That’s a lot of uncertainty.

But it’s the nearest exoplanet, the only one we could feasibly reach in a realistic amount of time. That alone makes it a desirable target.

There’s no final plan for a mission like this. It’s largely conceptual. But the technology to do it is coming along. NASA has funded a mission study, so it definitely has merit.

“Fortunately, we don’t have to wait until mid-century to make practical progress – we can explore and test swarming techniques now in a simulated environment, which is what we propose to do in this work,” said report lead author Thomas Eubanks from Space Initiatives Inc. “We anticipate our innovations would have a profound effect on space exploration, complementing existing techniques and enabling entirely new types of missions, for example, picospacecraft swarms covering all of cislunar space or instrumenting an entire planetary magnetosphere.”

Eubanks also points out how a swarm of probes could investigate interstellar objects that pass through our inner Solar System, like Oumuamua.

But the main mission would be the one to Proxima Centauri b. According to Eubanks, that would happen sometime in the third quarter of this century.

The post What a Swarm of Probes Can Teach Us About Proxima Centauri B appeared first on Universe Today.

The expansion rate of the universe, measured by the Hubble constant, has been one of the most controversial numbers in cosmology for years, and we seem at last to be close to nailing it down

If your life feels aimless and joyless, you may be languishing, says psychologist Corey Keyes — who reveals how it differs from depression and what you can do to flourish instead

Microplastic particles can be found in the most remote ocean regions on earth. In Antarctica, pollution levels are even higher than previously assumed.

A study that could help revolutionize wireless communication introduces a novel method to curve terahertz signals around an obstacle.

A study that could help revolutionize wireless communication introduces a novel method to curve terahertz signals around an obstacle.

Scientists are using computer simulations and laboratory experiments to see if depleted oil and natural gas reservoirs can be used for storing carbon-free hydrogen fuel. Hydrogen is an important clean fuel: It can be made by splitting water using solar or wind power, it can be used to generate electricity and power heavy industry, and it could be used to power fuel-cell-based vehicles. Additionally, hydrogen could be stored for months and used when energy needs outpace the supply delivered by renewable energy sources.

With climate change and rising urbanization, the likelihood and severity of urban flooding are increasing. But not all city blocks are created equal. Researchers investigated how urban layout and building structures contribute to pedestrian safety during flooding. Based on their simulated results, the team recommends modifying building corners and protective block layouts to reduce pedestrian risk.